In the run-up to the 2014 decisions, YS Jaganmohan Reddy declined to guarantee an advance waiver for the ranchers of Andhra Pradesh. His contention was that discounting advances worth Rs 87,612 crore would put a colossal weight on the exchequer of the bifurcated territory of Andhra that was taking watchman with a Rs 15900 crore income shortfall. Many felt Chandrababu Naidu’s guarantee to do as such, had an influence in charming the agrarian voter, helping him come to control following 10 years in the resistance.
The inquiry that emerges currently is whether Jagan is committing a comparable error indeed. Amid his padyatra that he set out on in November 2017 and is probably going to achieve the tip of north waterfront Andhra Pradesh at some point this September, Jagan at first said he won’t give bookings for Kapus. That he reported this while visiting east Godavari region which has a critical Kapu populace and has seen fomentations requesting a share, implied Jagan went under moment assault for not declaring a palliative.
Naidu then again, has declared a 5 for every penny booking for the network that has a 27 for each penny populace in Andhra. It was a savvy political move in light of the fact that the choice needs the simultaneousness of the Center. Naidu’s arrangement was to be faulted the BJP for hindering his choice, despite the fact that he knew it surpassed the 50 for each penny roof forced by the Supreme Court, taking the share to 55 for each penny.
Confronting a reaction from Kapu people group pioneers, Jagan attempted to change his position. The Leader of the Opposition in the Andhra Assembly said that he was just bringing up the unreasonable idea of Naidu’s guarantee. The genuine reason is that Jagan does not wish to charm the Kapus at the cost of estranging his center in reverse class (BCs) votebank.
Jagan’s political figuring is two-overlap. The YSRC realizes that there is a race for the Kapu vote between Naidu’s TDP, riding on its enactment to give 5 for every penny portion and on-screen character Pawan Kalyan’s Jana Sena. Pawan is a Kapu himself and like it occurred with his senior sibling Chiranjeevi in 2009, the network may rally to a degree behind the performing artist turned-government official. The YSRC calls attention to that in 2009, Chiranjeevi in spite of grabbing the Kapu votes in Palacole Assembly voting public in West Godavari region, lost from the seat that had a huge nearness of his locale.
Jagan supposes it looks bad to pursue the Kapu votes at the danger of losing its center in reverse class votebank, which appreciates 25 for every penny reservation now. Another 4 for each penny reservation is given to the retrogressive Muslim people group. The YSRC additionally trusts that the Kapu vote may get split amongst Pawan and Naidu, killing its viability in choosing the MLA or MP in the get together and Lok Sabha decisions one year from now. He likewise realizes that the regressive class that the Telugu Desam may at long last drive the Kapu amount as a major aspect of the retrogressive class share, in this way eating into their chances. It is this story that the YSRC is pushing in Andhra Pradesh right presently to incite a hostile to TDP solidification among the regressive classes.
The third aftermath will be that there could be a turn around hostile to Kapu rank combination that could occur in pockets of the state, helping Jagan’s motivation.
In any case, keeping in mind the end goal to guarantee he doesn’t totally miss out on the Kapu vote, Jagan has guaranteed Rs 10,000 crore to the corpus of the Kapu Corporation on the off chance that he came to control one year from now. This will be essentially up from the Rs 1,000 crore that Naidu provided for the Kapu Corporation in 2016. The Corporation is ordered to give credits and make work open doors for the Kapus.
Those following the legislative issues of Andhra are additionally mindful that the BJP, whose relations with Naidu have plunged, is probably not going to help the TDP’s motivation by clearing the Kapu portion charge that was passed last December. The TDP, so as to limit the YSRC account, is stating that Kapus will be obliged under another Backward Class F classification.
It is in any case a hazard Jagan has chosen to take. East Godavari locale saw viciousness breaking out in 2016 over the issue, a pointer of how essential the issue is.
Kapu-ruled East Godavari area with its 19 get together seats is likewise known inside political circles to choose who rules Andhra. Jagan won only 5 situates last time and experienced a mental blackout in neighboring West Godavari that sends 15 officials. Jagan’s figuring is that should that happen, he can conceal the misfortunes in the Godavari belt by setting up a superior show in other eleven areas of Andhra.